Business chart on a blackboard

Student Projections

  • Projections of school enrollment (districtwide, by census block group, and by subdivision)
  • Projections of re-distribution of students within a district and changing density of built-out, mature neighborhoods
  • Projections of the size of special student populations, tailored to determine needed changes in facilities or services
  • Development of ratios of students per household for every major subdivision in a district in order to assess neighborhoods (currently and in the future) with low or high densities of students
  • Tabulation of current student distributions and student projections by neighborhood and block-group for planning new schools and attendance zones
  • Comparisons of school districts with similar demographic and scholastic characteristics, designed to expedite financial decisions

Long Range Facilities Planning

PASA relates projected future student enrollment to the capacity of each school to outline when and where new schools might be needed in the future.

  • Comparison of capacities of each existing school with projected new students per year
  • Step-by-step analysis showing the need for future schools
  • Site selection and timing for new schools
  • Participation in Facility Planning Committees

Bond Election Planning

Successful bond elections require clear communication to the public of the realistic potential for future growth.  PASA provides dependable, transparent data on future growth and how that relates to the school district’s current capability to accommodate student population.

PASA can present the projections methodology, results, and capacity analysis to a bond committee, so that the public clearly understands the future potential for growth and the justifiable need for new schools.


Attendance Zone And Long Range Planning

School Districts use PASA’s enrollment projections to realign attendance zones for effective short-term and long-term utilization.

This map illustrates an example of attendance zones and how they could change over time with the opening of new schools. District administrators can use such tools to follow a long range plan when making short term decisions, in order to provide as much stability as possible for the students in these high-growth areas.

PASA can collaborate with boundary committees and/or District Administration to develop maps and projections for multiple attendance zone options.  Considering multiple options shows the public and the Board of Trustees the many factors involved in realigning attendance zones, as well as the benefits and challenges that were weighed in making a final recommendation.

Folded Road Maps


  • Mapping of students and mapping of critical data for visual presentations
  • Aerial imagery of existing, planned, and potential development
  • Gathering of permit data, future thoroughfare plans, and other factors critical to development
  • Geocoding of students’ addresses by place of residence and computer-mapping of students by grade, grade group, LEP/bilingual status, gifted, etc. With this accurate mapping of students, polygons can be delineated for special program planning, as well as for attendance zones, and/or bus transportation purposes